The flexCausal R package enables estimation of Average
Causal Effects (ACE) for a broad class of graphical models that satisfy
the treatment primal fixability criterion. Briefly, the package accepts
a dataset and a causal graph—defined through nodes, directed edges, and
bi-directed edges—as input and provides causal effect estimates using
robust influence-function-based estimators developed in this paper.
If you find this package useful, please consider cite: this paper
@article{guo2024average,
title={Average Causal Effect Estimation in DAGs with Hidden Variables: Extensions of Back-Door and Front-Door Criteria},
author={Guo, Anna and Nabi, Razieh},
journal={arXiv preprint arXiv:2409.03962},
year={2024}
}This
paper is highly relevant as well, which offers estimation strategy
for ACE under the front-door model, a special case of the graphical
models considered in flexCausal.
@article{guo2023targeted,
title={Targeted Machine Learning for Average Causal Effect Estimation Using the Front-Door Functional},
author={Guo, Anna and Benkeser, David and Nabi, Razieh},
journal={arXiv preprint arXiv:2312.10234},
year={2023}
}The package asks for the following inputs from the user:
Dataset
Treatment and outcome specifications
ADMG (acyclic directed mixed graph), a projection of directed acyclic graphs (DAG) with latent variables. This can be based on expert knowledge, causal discovery methods, or a combination of both.
The package outputs:
Whether the causal effect is identifiable
The estimated causal effect with confidence intervals (if the causal effect is identifiable under primal fixability criterion). Users can specify either one-step or TMLE estimators, or choose to use both. Additionally, they can select methods for nuisance parameter estimation, with SuperLearner set as the default.
An assessment of whether the specified ADMG is nonparametrically saturated, and if current estimates reach the semiparametric efficiency bounds.
Here’s a schematic view of what flexCausal is capable of
and how it works:
To install, run the following code in terminal:
# install the devtools package first if it's not yet installed
devtools::install_github("annaguo-bios/flexCausal")The source code for flexCausal package is available on
GitHub at flexCausal.
The ADMG is one of the major input to the flexCausal
package. It is a projection of a Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG) with
unmeasured variables into only observed variables. Let \(G(O \cup U)\) denote a DAG with observed
variables \(O\) and unmeasured
variables \(U\). The ADMG is a
projection of \(G(O \cup U)\) onto
\(O\) only, denoted as \(G(O)\). The projection is guided by the
following rules:
See Examples (a) and (b), where the DAGs with unmeasured variables on
the left are projected onto their corresponding ADMGs on the right:
In all the following discussions, we will use the ADMG in example (a)
above as a running example. The packages comes with simulated datasets
data_example_a and data_example_b that are
generated from the ADMGs in examples (a) and (b), respectively. Let’s
take a look at the first few rows of data_example_a:
library(flexCausal) # load the package
data(data_example_a) # load the simulated dataset for example (a)
head(data_example_a) # take a glance of the data, which is a simulated dataset under above figure (a).## X U A M.1 M.2 L Y
## 1 0.98890930 3.4036578 0 0.5423635 -1.6361458 0.7632388 3.257711
## 2 0.39774545 -0.7055857 0 2.4330827 -0.6538274 3.9498004 5.338658
## 3 0.11569778 1.0320105 1 4.5009622 2.0672577 11.4239744 19.819490
## 4 0.06974868 1.6994103 1 2.8610542 -1.1488686 5.0942460 10.803918
## 5 0.24374939 2.9995114 1 2.6677580 -1.1273291 3.2955105 8.205794
## 6 0.79201043 2.9700555 1 3.3190450 3.5674934 10.1107529 21.442111
Note that the \(M\) variable in the
dataset is a multivariate variable, consisting of two components, \(M.1\) and \(M.2\). To input the ADMG into the
flexCausal package, users need to specify the
vertices, directed edges, and bi-directed
edges in the ADMG, along with the components of any
multivariate variables.
For example, to input the ADMG in example (a) above that aligns with
the simulated dataset, we would create a graph object with the
make.graph() function:
# create a graph object for the ADMG in example (a)
graph_a <- make.graph(vertices=c('A','M','L','Y','X'), # specify the vertices
bi_edges=list(c('A','Y')), # specify the bi-directed edges
di_edges=list(c('X','A'), c('X','M'), c('X','L'),c('X','Y'), c('M','Y'), c('A','M'), c('A','L'), c('M','L'), c('L','Y')), # specify the directed edges, with each pair of variables indicating an directed edge from the first variable to the second. For example, c('X', 'A') represents a directed edge from X to A.
multivariate.variables = list(M=c('M.1','M.2'))) # specify the components of the multivariate variable MWith this graph object in hand, we can conveniently explore various properties of the ADMG using functions provided in the package. These functions include topological ordering, genealogical relations, and causal effect identifiability, and etc. For a detailed discussion, see Functions for learning the properties of ADMG.
As a quick example, we can obtain the adjacency matrix of this ADMG
with the f.adj_matrix() function:
## A M L Y X
## A 0 0 0 0 1
## M 1 0 0 0 1
## L 1 1 0 0 1
## Y 0 1 1 0 1
## X 0 0 0 0 0
The main function in this package is estADMG(), which
estimates the Average Causal Effect (ACE) using both a one-step
corrected plug-in estimator and a TMLE estimator. To get a sense of how
to use this package, we provide a quick example below. We will use the
ADMG in example (a) above to estimate the ACE of treatment \(A\) on outcome \(Y\) using a simulated dataset
data_example_a. We can directly use the
graph_a object created above as the input to the
function.
## The treatment is not fixable but is primal fixable. Estimation provided via extended front-door functional.
## Onestep estimated ACE: 1.96; 95% CI: (1.3, 2.62)
## TMLE estimated ACE: 1.96; 95% CI: (1.29, 2.62)
## The graph is nonparametrically saturated. Results from the one-step estimator and TMLE are provided, which are in theory the most efficient estimators.
The code above estimates the ACE of treatment \(A\) on outcome \(Y\), defined as \(E(Y^1)-E(Y^0)\), using the data
data_example_a generated based on Figure (a). The function
estADMG() takes the following arguments:
a: a vector of length 2, specifying the values of
treatment \(A\) to compare. For
example, a=c(1,0) compares causal effect under \(A=1\) verse \(A=0\). Alternatively, a can be
input as a single integer if estimating the causal effect under only one
treatment level is the goal. For example, to estimate \(E(Y^1)\), specify a = 1.data: a data frame containing the data.graph: a graph object specifying the ADMG.treatment: a string, specifying the name of the
treatment variable.outcome: a string, specifying the name of the outcome
variable.Alternatively, instead of providing a graph object, users can directly specify the vertices, directed edges, and bi-directed edges within the estADMG() function, as shown below:
est <- estADMG(a=c(1,0),data=data_example_a,
vertices=c('A','M','L','Y','X'), # specify the vertices
bi_edges=list(c('A','Y')), # specify the bi-directed edges
di_edges=list(c('X','A'), c('X','M'), c('X','L'),c('X','Y'), c('M','Y'), c('A','M'), c('A','L'), c('M','L'), c('L','Y')), # specify the directed edges
multivariate.variables = list(M=c('M.1','M.2')), # specify the components of the multivariate variable M
treatment='A', outcome='Y')## The treatment is not fixable but is primal fixable. Estimation provided via extended front-door functional.
## Onestep estimated ACE: 1.96; 95% CI: (1.3, 2.62)
## TMLE estimated ACE: 1.96; 95% CI: (1.29, 2.62)
## The graph is nonparametrically saturated. Results from the one-step estimator and TMLE are provided, which are in theory the most efficient estimators.
In implementing the onestep estimator, we use the trick of sequential regression. For example, in the above example (a), the onestep estimator involves a nuisance \(E\left[E(Y|L, M,a_1,X)\right | M,a_0,X]\), where \(a_1=1-a\), \(a_0=a\), and \(a\) is the level of intervention of treatment \(A\). To estimate this nuisance, we would first fit a regression model of \(Y\) on \(L, M, A, X\) to get and estimate \(\hat{E}(Y|L, M,a_1,X)\) and then fit a regression model of \(\hat{E}(Y|L, M,a_1,X)\) on \(L, M, A, X\). We offer three options for the regression model: (1) via simple linear or logistic regression, (2) via SuperLearner, and (3) via SuperLearner together with cross-fitting. Below we elaborate on the three options:
formulaY and formulaA to specify the
regression model for the outcome regression and propensity score
regression, respectively. It further allow users to specify the link
function for the outcome regression and propensity score regression via
linkY_binary and linkA, respectively. Note
that linkY_binary is only effective when the outcome is a
binary variable.superlearner.seq, superlearner.Y, and
superlearner.A, to specify whether to use SuperLearner for
the sequential regression, outcome regression, and propensity score
regression, respectively. The user can further specify the library of
SuperLearner via library.seq, library.Y,
library.A, respectively.crossfit to specify whether to use cross-fitting in
SuperLearner. The user can further specify the number of folds in
cross-fitting via K. The library of SuperLearner is still
specified via library.seq, library.Y,
library.A, respectively.The code below is an example of adopting SuperLearner with cross-fitting:
In implementing the TMLE estimator,apart from sequential regression, we also need to estimate density ratios. For example, in the above example (a), the TMLE estimator involves a nuisance \(p(M|a_0,X)/p(M|a_1,X)\). We need to estimate the density ratio for two sets of variables. Let \(C\) be the set of pre-treatment variables, let \(L\) be the set of variables that are connect with treatment \(A\) via bidirected edges, and let \(M\) be the set of variables that is not in either \(C\) or \(L\). We need to estimate the density ratio for variables in \(L\backslash A,Y\) and \(M\backslash Y\). We offer three options for the density ratio estimation: (1) via the package, (2) via Bayes rule, and (3) via assuming normal distribution for continuous varialbes. Below we elaborate on the three options:
ratio.method.L="densratio" or
ratio.method.M="densratio", respectively.ratio.method.L="bayes" or
ratio.method.M="bayes", respectively. For example, the
bayes rule method estimate \(p(M|a_0,X)/p(M|a_1,X)\) by rewriting it as
\([p(a_0|M,X)/p(a_1|M,X)]/[p(a_0|X)/p(a_1|X)]\).
\(p(A|M,X)\) is then estimated via the
three options as discussed under the onestep estimator section. We use
superlearner.M and superlearner.L to specify
whether to use SuperLearner for the density ratio estimation for
variables in \(M\backslash Y\) and
\(L\backslash A,Y\), respectively. The
user can further specify the library of SuperLearner via
lib.M and lib.L, respectively.ratio.method.L="dnorm" or
ratio.method.M="dnorm", respectively. The mean of the
normal distribution is estimated via linear regression, and the variance
is estimated via the sample variance of the error term from the
regression model. Note that we assume the linear regression only involve
first order terms, and we do not consider interaction terms.The code below is an example of using the dnorm method
for the density ratio estimation for variables in \(M\backslash Y\):
As an example, we estADMG() to estimate the average
counterfactual outcome \(E(Y^1)\). The
output is described as follows
est <- estADMG(a=1,
data=data_example_a,
graph = graph_a,
treatment='A', outcome='Y')
# TMLE and Onestep estimator
est$TMLE # a list contains the estimation result from TMLE estimator
est$Onestep # a list contains the estimation result from Onestep estimator
# For either the TMLE or Onestep estimator, the output is a list that contains the following elements:
est$TMLE$EYa # the estimated average counterfactual outcome
est$TMLE$lower.ci # the lower bound of the 95% confidence interval
est$TMLE$upper.ci # the upper bound of the 95% confidence interval
est$TMLE$EIF # the estimated efficient influence function
est$TMLE.Ya$EIF.Y # the estimated efficient influence function at the tangent space associated with the outcome
est$TMLE.Ya$EIF.A # the estimated efficient influence function at the tangent space associated with the treatment
est$TMLE.Ya$EIF.v # the estimated efficient influence function at the tangent space associated with the rest of the variables
est$TMLE.Ya$p.a1.mpA # the estimated propensity score for treatment
est$TMLE.Ya$mu.next.A # the estimated sequential regression associated with variable that comes right after the treatment according to the topological ordering of the ADMG
est$TMLE.Ya$EDstar # mean of the estimated efficient influence function
est$TMLE.Ya$iter # iterations take for TMLE estimator to converge
est$TMLE.Ya$EDstar.record # the mean of the estimated efficient influence function at each iterationApart from the estADMG() for causal effec estimation, we
also provide functions for learning the properties of ADMG. The
functions are described as follows:
make.graph: create the graph object. For example, to
create the graph object for the ADMG in Figure (a), we can use the
following code:graph_a <- make.graph(vertices=c('A','M','L','Y','X'), # specify the vertices
bi_edges=list(c('A','Y')), # specify the bi-directed edges
di_edges=list(c('X','A'), c('X','M'), c('X','L'),c('X','Y'), c('M','Y'), c('A','M'), c('A','L'), c('M','L'), c('L','Y')), # specify the directed edges, with each pair of variables indicating an directed edge from the first variable to the second. For example, c('X', 'A') represents a directed edge from X to A.
multivariate.variables = list(M=c('M.1','M.2'))) # specify the components of the multivariate variable Mf.adj_matrix: return the adjacency matrix of the graph.
For example, to get the adjacency matrix of the graph object for the
ADMG in Figure (a), we can use the following code:f.top_order: return the topological ordering of the
graph.f.parents: return the parents of a given vertex or
vertices in the graph. For example, to get the parents of vertex
Y in the graph object for the ADMG in Figure (a), we can
use the following code:f.children: return the children of a given vertex or
vertices in the graph. For example, to get the children of vertex
A in the graph object for the ADMG in Figure (a), we can
use the following code:f.descendants: return the descendants of a given vertex
or vertices in the graph. For example, to get the descendants of vertex
A in the graph object for the ADMG in Figure (a), we can
use the following code:f.district: return the district of a given vertex or
vertices in the graph. For example, to get the district of vertex
A in the graph object for the ADMG in Figure (a), we can
use the following code:f.markov_blanket: return the Markov blanket of a given
vertex or vertices in the graph. For example, to get the Markov blanket
of vertex A in the graph object for the ADMG in Figure (a),
we can use the following code:f.markov_pillow: return the Markov pillow of a given
vertex or vertices in the graph. For example, to get the Markov pillow
of vertex A in the graph object for the ADMG in Figure (a),
we can use the following code:is.fix: return whether a treatment variable is fixable
in a graph object. For example, to check whether the treatment variable
A is fixable in the graph object for the ADMG in Figure
(a), we can use the following code:is.p.fix: return whether a treatment variable is primal
fixable in a graph object. For example, to check whether the treatment
variable A is primal fixable in the graph object for the
ADMG in Figure (a), we can use the following code:If the treatment is primal fixable, then the average causal effect of the treatment on any choice of the outcome in the given graph is always identified.
is.np.saturated: return whether a graph object is
NP-saturated. For example, to check whether the graph object for the
ADMG in Figure (a) is NP-saturated, we can use the following code:A graph being nonparametrically saturated means that the graph implies NO equality constraints on the observed data distribution.
is.mb.shielded: return whether a graph is mb-shielded.
For example, to check whether ADMG in Figure (a) is shielded, we can use
the following code:A graph being mb-shielded means that the graph only implies ordinary equality constraints on the observed data distribution.